China’s
interbank-market regulator is likely to seek approval from China’s central bank
to launch a CDS market soon
The
National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors is likely to
ask the People’s Bank of China for formal approval to launch a CDS market soon
China is
edging closer to launching its own version of a popular hedging tool that
protects investors in case of defaults, as the world’s No. 2 economy struggles
to cope with slowing growth and record numbers of companies not paying back
debt.
The
National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors, an industry
body backed by China’s central bank, has consulted major banks and brokerage
firms in recent weeks about the planned rollout of credit-default swaps, three
people familiar with the situation said. The swaps would pay out if the issuer
of a bond or a loan defaults, said the people, who were briefed by the
regulator on the matter.
ENLARGE
The
regulator, which oversees China’s $8.5 trillion interbank bond market, has
drafted guidelines and standardized contracts for the product, one that has in
the past two decades become a key tool in global markets to hedge government
and corporate debt, the people said.
NAFMII has
hired a group of lawyers to help align its CDS rules with internationally
accepted practices and is expected to ask the People’s Bank of China for formal
approval to launch the market soon, one of the people said.
Officials
at NAFMII weren’t reachable for comment.
The planned
rollout of rules for CDS reflects the pressures China faces as it tries to
attract more investors, including global players, to a swelling bond market,
even as debt defaults soar. China’s domestic bond market has had 39 defaults
totaling around 25 billion yuan ($3.8 billion) this year, already exceeding the
total of 20 defaults worth 12 billion yuan for all of last year. In 2014, there
were five such defaults, following one in 2013.
“If
the [CDS plan] is carried out well in China, it will certainly be a big help to
investors,” saidWang Ming, a partner at Shanghai Yaozhi Asset Management Co., a
bond fund that manages two billion yuan in assets.
China experimented
with a less sophisticated version of a CDS called a credit-risk-mitigation
agreement, or CRMA, in 2010, in the wake of a credit binge. But the CRMA market
never took off, because the state kept bailing out insolvent companies instead
of letting them default, in the interests of financial and social stability.
Now, there
are signs that Beijing and the country’s local governments are becoming more
tolerant of debt defaults as the economy weakens further and governments feel
increased fiscal strains.
“The timing
is indeed better now for CDS to be introduced to China. Given that all kinds of
defaults are on the rise, I think demand will be quite robust,” Mr. Wang said.
The
guidelines and standardized contracts for the credit derivative drafted by NAFMII
look to be in line with those published by the International Swaps and
Derivatives Association, a global body based in New York that sets standard
terms for derivatives transactions, said one of the people briefed on the
instruments.
So great is
the enthusiasm for CDS in China that some officials seem to view them as a way
to help ailing companies get credit. The government of the northern province of
Shanxi, China’s biggest coal-producing region, said it hopes to encourage
credit-default swaps as a means to raise investor confidence in debt issued by
the area’s struggling coal-mining firms. Typically big coal miners are backed
by the state.
According
to a front-page article published Thursday in the Shanxi Daily, the Communist
Party’s local mouthpiece, companies from the region are facing greater
difficulties in issuing new debt because of a weakening economy and rising debt
defaults among state-run enterprises.
One of the
coal-mining firms from the province that is struggling to meet its debt
repayment, state-backed ChinaCoal Group Shanxi Huayu Energy Co., defaulted on a
600 million yuan one-year bond in April.
“We’ve
already come up with a plan, and Shanxi would like to become the first local
government to roll out a CDS contract in China,” said Liu Hongbo, an official
at the financial affairs office of the Shanxi provincial government.
CDS are
normally created by investment banks, which calculate the default risks
involved and charge sometimes steep fees for the guarantees, and it is unclear
how Shanxi province proposes to handle them.
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