Investment Bank supporting leading medium and large corporates in fund raising through Banks, NBFC, PE funds. Also provide NPA resolution for stressed cases.
Showing posts with label bad loans. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bad loans. Show all posts
Wednesday, 31 August 2016
Tuesday, 23 August 2016
1Q’FY17 BANKING PERFORMANCE REVIEW
Overall, the rate of increase in bad loans for the banking industry slowed in the June quarter, but the trend is not uniform even for the private banks
The dominant theme of conversation among banking sector analysts
these days is whether the worst is over for India’s state-owned banks that
roughly has 70% market share. I spoke to four of them last week. While two
analysts say that these banks have been to hell and back, the other two are
sceptical; according to them, some more pain is left for many banks. I am not
naming any one of them as we spoke on condition of anonymity.
The answer lies in the numbers—more than the quantum of bad loans
that each bank has piled up, the growth in the pile over the past three
quarters ever since the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) asked them to clean up
their balance sheets. Between August and December 2015, the RBI inspected the
loan portfolios of all banks with a fine-tooth comb and asked them to set aside
money for three kinds of loans—non-performing assets (NPAs) not recognized yet
by them; loans given to projects where the dates of commencement of commercial
operations had passed but the projects have failed to take off; and
restructured loans.
The banks were directed to provide for the first two types of
loans in two phases in the December and March quarters of fiscal year 2016, at
least 50% each. For the restructured loans, they were asked to make 15%
provision in six quarters, 2.5% each, till March 2017.
This simply means all banks should be through with recognizing
NPAs and making provision for them by March 2016 even as they will continue to
provide for their restructured assets till March 2017, by when the entire
clean-up exercise gets over. Has this happened?
Bank of Baroda, which claimed to have bit the bullet in the
December quarter itself, made a massive provision ofRs.6,165
crore and posted a Rs.3,342 crore net loss. It did an encore in the next
quarter and made an even higher provision of Rs.6,858 crore and reported a marginally narrower loss of Rs.3,230
crore. In the June quarter, its provision against bad loans dropped some 71% to Rs.2,004
crore even as its gross NPAs rose 6% to Rs.42,992 crore.
This is more than double of the pile of bad assets the bank had a
year ago (Rs.17,274 crore) but the pace of growth
in NPAs has definitely slowed. In percentage terms, its gross NPAs rose from
4.13% in June 2015 to 11.15% now and after provisioning, net NPAs are 5.73%.
State Bank of India (SBI) had made close to Rs.8,000
crore provisions in the December quarter and an additionalRs.13,164
crore in March. In June, it made 44% less provision as its gross NPAs rose
marginally. In the past one year, SBI’s gross NPAs rose Rs.56,421
crore to Rs.1.15
trillion, but accretion of new bad loans is certainly not as much as we had
seen in the past three quarters. In percentage terms, its gross NPAs rose from
4.29% of loans in June 2015 to 6.94% in June 2016 and after provisioning, the
net NPAs are now 4.05%.
Among large banks, Punjab National Bank, Bank of India and Canara
Bank seem to have got a hang of their bad loans even though their level of NPAs
vary, but for quite a few banks, we have not seen the worst yet. For instance,
take the case of Indian Overseas Bank, saddled with more than one-fifth of its
loan book turning bad. Its gross NPAs had risen 17% in the December quarter and
33% in March, fromRs.22,672 crore to Rs.30,049
crore. On top of that, in the June quarter, it has risen a further 13% to Rs.34,000
crore.
There is no respite from rising bad loans for a few SBI associate
banks too. State Bank of Travancore had refused to recognize growth in NPAs in
the December quarter, but had shown some aggression in March when its gross
NPAs rose some 23%. However, that was not enough. So, in the June quarter, the
pile doubled to Rs.6,401 crore.
Data compiled by Mint Research’s Ravindra Sonavane shows
that State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur too was slow in admitting the problem.
Its gross NPAs rose around 5% and 17% in the December and March quarter,
respectively, but in June, it has risen by more than 27%, on a higher base.
State Bank of Mysore too has shown around 19% growth in bad loans in the June
quarter after a 34% growth in the December quarter and another 25% growth in
the March quarter. All of them will be merged with the parent.
The tale of woe continues for a few other banks such as Oriental
Bank of Commerce, Allahabad Bank, Bank of Maharasthra and Andhra Bank. In
percentage terms, Uco Bank and United Bank of India have higher NPAs than these
banks, but both have added less bad assets in the June quarter than the
preceding quarter.
Overall, the rate of increase in bad loans for the banking
industry slowed in the June quarter, but the trend is not uniform even for the
private banks. Axis Bank’s gross NPAs have risen 57% in the June quarter and
that of Karur Vysya Bank, little more than 37% (after a drop in two successive
quarters), while ICICI Bank has managed to contain the growth at a little less
than 4%.
At a recent banking seminar, RBI deputy governor S.S. Mundra had
said for some banks, it looks like the worst is over but some others are still
struggling and “it is still work in progress”. The banks are in the business of
lending and part of the loans will always go bad for a variety of reasons,
including inefficient credit appraisal and monitoring, but shoving them under
the rug is not a good idea.
The continuous rise of bad loans in the June quarter for some
banks and a sudden surge for a few has two explanations. One, they refused to
reveal the real picture in December and March; and, two, more loans turned bad
in June, something the managements had not anticipated. Even if the second
premise is true, it’s not a good sign when most banks have virtually stopped
giving fresh loans.
Tamal Bandyopadhyay, consulting editor at Mint, is
adviser to Bandhan Bank. He is also the author of A Bank for the Buck, Sahara: The
Untold Story and Bandhan: The Making of a Bank.
Friday, 8 July 2016
NPA sales down to a trickle of just 2% of total bad loans
Notwithstanding rising bad loan problems in the system, sale of stressed assets to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) in 2015-16 was only a trickle of the NPA mount at 2 per cent of the total of nearly Rs 5.8 trillion, which is down a whopping 20 per cent from previous year, says a report.
Notwithstanding rising bad loan problems in the system, sale of stressed assets to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) in 2015-16 was only a trickle of the NPA mount at 2 per cent of the total of nearly Rs 5.8 trillion, which is down a whopping 20 per cent from previous year, says a report.
“The overall loans sold in FY2016 were lower by 20 per cent y-o-y and around 15 per cent of the overall loans in the banking system,” Kotak Institutional Equities said today in a report that is based on the analysis of 33 public and private banks.
The report did not offer any reasons for the massive dip in the sales, but it can be noted that banks are not happy with the cheap valuation that ARCs are offering while these companies are capital starved to make the higher upfront payments to the banks. The report also did not quantify the total amount of bad loans sold to ARCs.
As per RBI, total NPAS in the system jumped to 7.6 per cent in 2015-16, up from 4.6 per cent in the previous fiscal, which it warned could jump to a whopping 8.5 per cent by this fiscal end. The total stressed assets including NPAs stood at a staggering 13 per cent or over Rs 8 trillion in 2015-16.
State-run banks sold 75 per cent of their overall bad loans, lower than the 90 per cent of loans sold in 2014-15.
Axis Bank sold the largest quantity of loans but at a significant loss. The SBI Group, however, had the largest share of loans sold at 33 per cent of the overall loans compared to over 60 per cent in 2014-15.
Allahabad Bank and Central Bank were the two large public sector banks which sold a high share of their loans to ARCs last year.
Thursday, 17 March 2016
Banks put up a united front on stressed assets
The message from bankers to the top management of stressed firms was clear: banks are willing to help only if the need is genuine and promoters are doing their bit.
Mumbai: On one side were the bankers—from some of India’s top banks, many state-owned.
On the other side were promoters and CXOs of companies, including some storied ones, that had borrowed money from them and were finding it difficult to pay it back.
Earlier this week, when the two met at State Bank of India’s (SBI’s) headquarters in Mumbai’s Nariman Point, the proceedings were anything but pleasant.
The message, at the end of a series of meetings, was clear: the banks would work in concert; they wanted interest payments to restart; they would help but only if the promoters and management were doing all they could to pay back the money owed by their companies; else, they would take charge.
The banks present included SBI, ICICI Bank Ltd, IDBI Bank Ltd, Punjab National Bank, Central Bank of India, Union Bank of India and Dena Bank.
The companies included Visa Steel Ltd, Uttam Galva Steels Ltd, Adhunik Metaliks Ltd, Aban Offshore Ltd, Bhushan Power & Steel Ltd and Bhushan Steel Ltd.
“We have been patient with a lot of borrowers, but if someone is trying to take advantage of that, we will not shy away from taking them to task,” said a senior banker at a state-owned bank who was present at the meetings. He sought anonymity as the meetings were confidential.
The meetings dovetailed with a massive clean-up of bank balance sheets; the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has given them a deadline of March 2017 to complete the exercise.
The banking regulator has asked banks to provide for and reclassify stressed assets as part of an asset quality review that took place in December. Banks were asked to make at least half the required provisions in the October-December quarter and the remaining in the fourth quarter of 2015-16 (January-March).
In a report on Wednesday, JP Morgan analysts Seshadri Sen and Dhiren Shah wrote that while aggressive recognition and reclassification of stressed loans was a positive for the banking system, inadequate bank capital and low prices quoted by stressed asset buyers could play spoilsport.
Experts say joint lender meetings with borrowers could prove beneficial.
“When borrowers and all their bankers sit together, the true nature of the stress can be identified. If there are any issues that can be fixed on the bank’s end or even on the borrower’s part, it can be solved. For problems which go beyond these two, banks can always reach out to the government, which seems to be keen on reducing stress in the system,” said Vibha Batra, senior vice-president at rating company Icra Ltd.
According to the banker mentioned above, bankers had previously discussed the need for joint meetings to ensure that all lenders are on the same page.
SBI, being the lead lender in a number of instances, took the lead. The options discussed by the lenders include reclassification of loans to non-performing category, bringing in more promoter equity, working with restructuring and turnaround of firms, invoking lenders’ rights to take over collateral and finally, taking operational control of companies.
“Most borrowers came with an open mind, which made the discussions easier. But there were a few who refused to even turn up. Over the next few days, we will decide on how to move against them,” said a second banker at another state-owned bank who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Bankers warn that given the external environment, it would be too much to expect an immediate improvement in asset quality. Some cases discussed at the meetings involved iron and steel companies, which are not only highly leveraged but are also having to cope with low demand, both domestic and global.
In such cases, lenders say, the best option is to wait it out. “Whether we do it with a new promoter or old is a case-specific decision to take. But we are open to giving time to these borrowers,” said the second banker quoted above.
In some cases, lenders may choose to classify the loans as a non-performing asset (NPA), giving themselves more time to find a resolution, after due provisioning. “If it (the asset) is standard, the timeline is too stringent for any process to take place,” the second banker said.
Once the asset is classified as bad and lenders are convinced that the resolution process will show results, they could allow the company to avail of fresh loans under the current credit limits.
According to Icra’s Batra, in highly leveraged sectors such as steel which are reeling under various pressures, the least that bankers can do is to recognize the stress and provide adequately. “Once banks have adequately provided for these loans, it becomes easier for everyone to identify the issues and evaluate bank balance sheets better,” she said.
The marathon meetings with promoters form part of a larger movement by the banking system to bring problematic borrowers to task.
Apart from this, lenders are also actively trying to find investors who can buy stakes in companies where they have acquired equity control in lieu of debt.
In a 3 March advertisement on its website, SBI asked for expression of interest (EOI) from interested parties that might want to acquire management control of a company which is setting up a 2.51 million tonne per annum integrated steel plant in Bokaro, Jharkhand. The deadline for submission of the EOI is 21 March.
Gross NPAs of 39 listed banks surged to Rs.4.38 trillion in the quarter ended 31 December from Rs.3.4 trillion at the end of the September quarter, according to data collated by corporate database provider Capitaline.
In a statement last week, ratings agency Crisil Ratings said that it expects stressed assets (a sum of gross NPAs and other troubled assets) in the Indian banking system to rise to over Rs.7 trillion (or 11.3% of total loans) by March 2017, from about Rs.4 trillion (7.2% of total loans) as of March 2015.
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